Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 93.482466 104.012175 114.709937 126.361561 138.664804 151.241866 165.042495
2025-08-17 75.689107 90.821329 106.822257 124.879410 144.573373 165.294067 188.637916
2025-08-24 65.769091 83.544775 102.900873 125.293537 150.251745 177.004352 207.644174
2025-08-31 57.075866 76.542449 98.326823 124.095418 153.361754 185.228352 222.223509
2025-09-07 51.575441 72.557918 96.599941 125.572683 158.985220 195.822770 239.043187
2025-09-14 47.184284 69.433313 95.487765 127.412262 164.724239 206.302911 255.522865
2025-09-21 41.971345 64.863376 92.302191 126.508681 167.033939 212.677196 267.184393
2025-09-28 36.647222 59.727746 88.085751 124.073398 167.295779 216.492981 275.748912
2025-10-05 35.105430 59.311263 89.545374 128.359155 175.382691 229.261287 294.500339
2025-10-12 32.983546 57.952195 89.694302 130.940566 181.362048 239.525336 310.331343
2025-10-19 29.697450 54.778293 87.356879 130.305111 183.362304 245.045640 320.599517
2025-10-26 26.728950 51.821908 85.129152 129.662371 185.236724 250.326716 330.514595
2025-11-02 24.499572 49.792728 84.046724 130.434848 188.847193 257.707917 342.968559
2025-11-09 21.880130 46.994891 81.800750 129.615245 190.422729 262.616164 352.488630
2025-11-16 19.892421 44.987332 80.506671 129.926920 193.323856 269.054158 363.768812
2025-11-23 17.592425 42.299117 78.135831 128.721337 194.241956 273.038098 372.087861
2025-11-30 16.322138 41.158882 77.861774 130.227003 198.532597 281.079214 385.221682
2025-12-07 15.260576 40.276979 77.898575 132.105773 203.268755 289.647190 398.979959
2025-12-14 13.511885 38.067314 75.913126 131.183125 204.371520 293.731630 407.329276
2025-12-21 11.525784 35.227163 72.859805 128.696380 203.377575 295.174039 412.442889
2025-12-28 11.368139 35.730191 74.800345 133.072440 211.264244 307.583587 430.823738
2026-01-04 10.811327 35.429246 75.495578 135.707624 216.881440 317.184611 445.810826
2026-01-11 9.561788 33.664219 73.874191 135.058975 218.173539 321.389507 454.229113